Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.000215 0.000241 0.000268 0.000299 0.000334 0.000372 0.000416
2025-02-02 0.000186 0.000221 0.000262 0.000312 0.000371 0.000439 0.000524
2025-02-09 0.000160 0.000202 0.000251 0.000316 0.000397 0.000496 0.000625
2025-02-16 0.000140 0.000185 0.000242 0.000319 0.000421 0.000551 0.000730
2025-02-23 0.000123 0.000169 0.000231 0.000318 0.000438 0.000599 0.000830
2025-03-02 0.000107 0.000154 0.000218 0.000313 0.000448 0.000636 0.000918
2025-03-09 0.000096 0.000143 0.000209 0.000311 0.000462 0.000680 0.001018
2025-03-16 0.000087 0.000134 0.000202 0.000311 0.000478 0.000727 0.001127
2025-03-23 0.000079 0.000126 0.000197 0.000312 0.000496 0.000777 0.001244
2025-03-30 0.000072 0.000118 0.000190 0.000310 0.000507 0.000818 0.001350
2025-04-06 0.000067 0.000113 0.000186 0.000312 0.000525 0.000871 0.001479
2025-04-13 0.000062 0.000107 0.000182 0.000313 0.000541 0.000920 0.001607
2025-04-20 0.000056 0.000100 0.000175 0.000309 0.000549 0.000960 0.001725
2025-04-27 0.000054 0.000099 0.000177 0.000323 0.000589 0.001058 0.001954
2025-05-04 0.000051 0.000096 0.000175 0.000327 0.000613 0.001130 0.002145
2025-05-11 0.000048 0.000092 0.000172 0.000331 0.000635 0.001201 0.002340
2025-05-18 0.000044 0.000087 0.000168 0.000330 0.000649 0.001257 0.002513
2025-05-25 0.000041 0.000082 0.000161 0.000324 0.000653 0.001295 0.002652
2025-06-01 0.000038 0.000078 0.000157 0.000322 0.000665 0.001348 0.002828
2025-06-08 0.000035 0.000075 0.000153 0.000322 0.000680 0.001410 0.003026
2025-06-15 0.000033 0.000072 0.000151 0.000324 0.000698 0.001478 0.003245
2025-06-22 0.000031 0.000069 0.000147 0.000322 0.000708 0.001531 0.003435
2025-06-29 0.000030 0.000066 0.000145 0.000324 0.000728 0.001605 0.003680